The Urban Developer
AdvertiseEventsWebinars
Urbanity
Awards
Sign In
Membership
Latest
Menu
Location
Sector
Category
Content
Type
Newsletters
LESS THAN 2 WEEKS UNTIL OUR FLAGSHIP CONFERENCE JOIN MORE THAN 550 ALREADY ATTENDING
JUST 2 WEEKS TO GO UNTIL URBANITY-25 550+ ALREADY ATTENDING
REGISTER NOWDETAILS
TheUrbanDeveloper
Follow
About
About Us
Membership
Awards
Events
Webinars
Listings
Resources
Terms & Conditions
Commenting Policy
Privacy Policy
Republishing Guidelines
Editorial Charter
Complaints Handling Policy
Contact
General Enquiries
Advertise
Contribution Enquiry
Project Submission
Membership Enquiry
Newsletter
Stay up to date and with the latest news, projects, deals and features.
Subscribe
ADVERTISEMENT
SHARE
6
print
Print
RetailTue 23 Oct 18

Commercial Property Sentiment Drops to Two Year Low: NAB

85bce9d4-93fd-46de-9595-8e4cbe3af527

Overall sentiment in commercial property markets fell nine points to a two-year-low in the third quarter, according to the NAB Commercial Property Index.

Sentiment fell in all sectors, except CBD hotels which continues to benefit from the nation’s booming international tourism.

Bolstered by the surging demand in e-commerce, particularly concentrated along the eastern seaboard, industrial property was the next best performer, according to the survey which covers 300 property professional respondents.

NAB Group chief economist Alan Oster said the overall two-year low in sentiment was not unexpected.

“The fall was consistent with weaker business conditions also seen in NAB’s September Quarter Business Survey,” Oster said.

Looking ahead, confidence in the commercial property sector over the next two-year period has also fallen, with the outlook in retail especially low.

Related: Property Market Confidence ‘Collapsing’: Survey


Top risks faced by commercial property developers

Property professionals operating in commercial property markets identified the risks faced by commercial property developers in the next year.

The biggest risk according to six in 10 (59 per cent) was the availability of debt capital for development finance to start new projects.

The next issue was the availability of debt capital for unit buyers affecting end user demand (46 per cent), delays in obtaining satisfactory pre-sale levels (41 per cent) and rising construction costs (40 per cent).

Availability of debt capital to start new developments was a much bigger issue in WA (74 per cent), while accessing capital for unit purchasers was bigger in QLD (51 per cent).

Related: The Sydney and Melbourne Suburbs Likely to Underperform: Report


Developer pipeline

The number of property developers expecting to begin new works in the next month increased to 11 per cent, up from a survey low four per cent in the second quarter.

Overall, 42 per cent of property developers were planning to start new projects in the next six months, this figure well below survey average levels of 50 per cent, with factors adding to softer development starts including weakening house prices, over-supply of apartments and difficult funding conditions.

The number of property developers who said they were planning to commence new projects and targeting residential development projects fell to a survey low 44 per cent in the third quarter, below long-term average levels of 55 per cent.

Latest ABS data also shows that approvals for new dwellings dropped to their lowest level in two years in August, with apartment approvals falling the hardest.

RetailResidentialIndustrialHotelAustraliaSector
ADVERTISEMENT
TOP STORIES
Kurraba Point 93 Kurraba Road TUD PLUS
Residential

Council Over Court: How HFO Won Rare North Sydney Approval

Vanessa Croll
7 Min
Exclusive

Why Sentinel is Betting Big on Olympic City Office Sector

Phil Bartsch
5 Min
The Port of Brisbane has released its Vision 2060 which details the need for inland rail connectivity
Infrastructure

Brisbane Port’s $15bn Future Faces One Big Obstacle

Renee McKeown
5 Min
Freecity Rouse Hill triple towers 2 Tempus Street
Exclusive

Freecity Takes Covers Off $330m Triple Towers in Sydney’s North-West

Leon Della Bosca
5 Min
Parallel Workshops Stockdale Housing PBSA project
Exclusive

Suburban Success Story Turns PBSA Thinking on its Head

Leon Della Bosca
7 Min
View All >
Kurraba Point 93 Kurraba Road TUD PLUS
Residential

Council Over Court: How HFO Won Rare North Sydney Approval

Vanessa Croll
Residential

Fortis Plots Placemaking Project at Hamilton

Taryn Paris
Perth Glory Playbook: Ross Pelligra on Property and Sport
Community

Pelligra’s Playbook: Building Property, Sport Synergies

Renee McKeown
The Perth Glory A-League side is on the cusp of a new era, driven by its owner’s bold sports development hub play…
LATEST
Kurraba Point 93 Kurraba Road TUD PLUS
Residential

Council Over Court: How HFO Won Rare North Sydney Approval

Vanessa Croll
7 Min
Residential

Fortis Plots Placemaking Project at Hamilton

Taryn Paris
2 Min
Perth Glory Playbook: Ross Pelligra on Property and Sport
Community

Pelligra’s Playbook: Building Property, Sport Synergies

Renee McKeown
3 Min
NSW Housing Pattern Book HERO.
Policy

Housing Pattern Book Supercharges NSW Planning

Vanessa Croll
5 Min
View All >
ADVERTISEMENT
Article originally posted at: https://theurbandeveloper.com/articles/commercial-property-sentiment-drops-two-year-low-report