The Urban Developer
AdvertiseEventsWebinars
Urbanity
Awards
Sign In
Membership
Latest
Menu
Location
Sector
Category
Content
Type
Newsletters
Untitled design (8)
FULL PROGRAM RELEASED FOR URBANITY-25 CONNECTING PROPERTY LEADERS ACROSS THE ASIA PACIFIC
FULL PROGRAM RELEASED FOR URBANITY-25 WHERE THE PROPERTY INDUSTRY CONNECTS
VIEW FULL AGENDADETAILS
TheUrbanDeveloper
Follow
About
About Us
Membership
Awards
Events
Webinars
Listings
Resources
Terms & Conditions
Commenting Policy
Privacy Policy
Republishing Guidelines
Editorial Charter
Complaints Handling Policy
Contact
General Enquiries
Advertise
Contribution Enquiry
Project Submission
Membership Enquiry
Newsletter
Stay up to date and with the latest news, projects, deals and features.
Subscribe
OtherDinah Lewis BoucherThu 11 Oct 18

The Haves and the Have Nots: Mortgage Stress Hits these Areas Harder

TUD+ MEMBER CONTENT
b9355771-f0b5-4db3-8e56-de4bfb3832f2
SHARE
18
print
Print

Across the country, mortgage delinquency rates are significantly higher in outer suburban areas in comparison to their inner-city counterparts, reveals a new report from Moody’s Investors Service.

While Australia’s current mortgage delinquency levels are low in comparison to historic levels, there are areas feeling the mortgage squeeze much harder.

On average across Australian cities, Moody’s associate managing director Ilya Serov says mortgage delinquency rates are lowest in areas within five kilometres of the CBD.

"And highest in areas 30-40 kilometres from CBDs,” Serov said.

Lower average incomes and weaker credit characteristics are acknowledged as factors increasing the likelihood of mortgage stress, especially if faced with an economic downturn.

In its October report, Pimco said it expects housing prices to continue to fall moderately by 10 per cent in the next couple of years, with mortgage serviceability expected to deteriorate due to rising mortgage rates.

Related: Escalating Costs, Construction Skills Shortage Lead Global Developer Concerns


On the other end of the scale, a minimum of 50 per cent of mortgages are extended for investment purposes in suburbs within five kilometres of the CBD in Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane.

The report attributes this to a high share of interest-only loans, typical for investment properties in these inner-suburbs.

A large number of interest-only mortgages are due to convert to principal and interest in the next two years, which Moody's says will increase the risk of delinquencies.

However, delinquencies on investment loans reflect more than half of all delinquencies in the five kilometre radius of Brisbane and Melbourne CBD’s, a large share of which are on loans for apartments.

Related: Ten Lessons from Cities that Have Risen to the Affordable Housing Challenge

Moody’s RMBS report


In the event of a downturn in housing prices, Serov says mortgage delinquencies and defaults could rise in inner-city areas due to the high share of investment and interest-only loans.

"Though in general we expect delinquencies and defaults to remain higher in outer suburbs," Serov said.

OtherAustraliaFinanceOther
AUTHOR
Dinah Lewis Boucher
More articles by this author
ADVERTISEMENT
TOP STORIES
Exclusive

Accor Deputy Delivers Verdict on Brisbane Games Hotel Shortfall

Phil Bartsch
6 Min
Qld Budget 2025-26 Brisbane City
Exclusive

Billions Promised, Now Deliver: Industry’s Qld Budget Verdict

Vanessa Croll
6 Min
Medium Density housing in NSW
Exclusive

NSW Budget ‘Groundbreaking’ $1bn Guarantee to Unlock Housing

Leon Della Bosca
7 Min
Exclusive

Azure’s Trent Keirnan on Playing the Long Game

Taryn Paris
5 Min
Exclusive

Private Credit Surge, Skittish Buyers Force Banks to Loosen Presale Rules

Taryn Paris
5 Min
View All >
Not-for-profit BaptistCare is about to embark on one of its biggest projects to date, a 6.4ha development in Sydney’s north west with a capital investment value exceeding $2 billion.
Placemaking

BaptistCare Plans $2bn Precinct at Macquarie Park

Renee McKeown
TimePlace Manly shoptop
Construction

Time & Place Plans Second Manly Project as First Begins

Vanessa Croll
Ledlin Developments Somerville Business Park
Industrial

Ledlin Plots $13m Somerville Premium Business Park

Leon Della Bosca
The developer returns to his roots, filing plans for a first-of-its-kind premium business park in his Mornington Peninsu…
LATEST
Not-for-profit BaptistCare is about to embark on one of its biggest projects to date, a 6.4ha development in Sydney’s north west with a capital investment value exceeding $2 billion.
Placemaking

BaptistCare Plans $2bn Precinct at Macquarie Park

Renee McKeown
2 Min
TimePlace Manly shoptop
Construction

Time & Place Plans Second Manly Project as First Begins

Vanessa Croll
2 Min
Ledlin Developments Somerville Business Park
Industrial

Ledlin Plots $13m Somerville Premium Business Park

Leon Della Bosca
3 Min
Builder Hansen Yuncken has completed construction of ISPT and HESTA's latest addition to the St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne Precinct.
Life Sciences

ISPT, HESTA $140m Fitzroy Life Science Tower Tops Out

Marisa Wikramanayake
2 Min
View All >
ADVERTISEMENT
Article originally posted at: https://theurbandeveloper.com/articles/mortgage-stress-hits-these-areas-harder