The Urban Developer
AdvertiseEventsWebinarsUrbanity
Industry Excellence
Urban Leader
Sign In
Membership
Latest
Menu
Location
Sector
Category
Content
Type
Newsletters
JOIN US FOR A ONE-DAY DEEP DIVE INTO THE FUTURE OF THE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
FIND OUT HOW THE INDUSTRIAL MARKET IS CHANGING IN 2026
LEARN MOREDETAILS
TheUrbanDeveloper
Follow
About
About Us
Membership
Awards
Events
Webinars
Listings
Resources
Terms & Conditions
Commenting Policy
Privacy Policy
Republishing Guidelines
Editorial Charter
Complaints Handling Policy
Contact
General Enquiries
Advertise
Contribution Enquiry
Project Submission
Membership Enquiry
Newsletter
Stay up to date and with the latest news, projects, deals and features.
Subscribe
ADVERTISEMENT
SHARE
2
print
Print
FinanceAna NarvaezTue 01 Oct 19

Sluggish Property Lending Market Rife with ‘Liar Loans’

ced9adb2-6c2b-47f1-abab-6b4ec2371e1e

The banking royal commission has not increased the factual accuracy of mortgage applications, with so-called “liar loans” rising to record levels despite the banks significantly increasing their verification requirements.

A survey from investment bank UBS has found that Australia’s mortgage market is rife with inaccurate loans, with record numbers of applicants overstating their income and understating their debt burden and living costs.

UBS analyst Jonathan Mott said that the expectation that tougher lending standards would lead to an increase in the accuracy of mortgage applications was not the case.

The number of applicants who reported their application was not “completely factual and accurate” rose to a record 37 per cent from 32 per cent in 2018, with 20 per cent overstating their income and 34 per cent understating living costs.

In a speech at the Financial Review’s property summit in Sydney last week, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg said that if responsible lending laws are applied too stringently they could adversely affect property markets.

The treasurer called for a “sensible balance” in the application of responsible lending obligations by the banks.

The survey’s findings comes as new data from the central bank released on Monday shows the pace of lending to property buyers has recorded its slowest growth on record.

The financial aggregates data showed that housing credit growth slowed to 0.17 per cent despite the turnaround in the housing market and improving mortgage approvals, which have risen 10 per cent from record lows.

Mott explains that to add 1 per cent to housing credit growth, mortgage approvals would need to grow by around 10 per cent.

“Even if mortgage approvals re-accelerate to levels seen at the height of the housing bubble, system housing credit growth would only grow to [about] 5.5 per cent,” Mott said.

Credit growth in Australia

^ Credit growth in Australia (year-on-year basis) Source: UBS

UBS analysts expect housing credit growth to bottom out over the next two months, as bank fundamentals are increasingly challenged by ultra-low interest rates.

Mott estimates that the banks will only pass on 30bps of Tuesday’s 50bps cash rate cut.

“The major banks continue to lose share in the housing market with CBA the only major to grow its mortgage book in August (0.3 per cent).

“APRA data showed credit card outstanding balances shrunk -3.3 per cent [over the quarter] which suggests much of the tax refunds may be being used to pay down debts,” Mott said.


OtherAustraliaFinancePolicyReal EstatePolicy
AUTHOR
Ana Narvaez
The Urban Developer - Editorial Director
More articles by this author
ADVERTISEMENT
TOP STORIES
Multiplex Moderna facility
Exclusive

Industrial Subsectors Win Investor Attention as Demand Blossoms

Clare Burnett
7 Min
Bee Bricks hero
Exclusive

Beyond Green: The Rise of Net-Positive Architecture in Australia

Clare Burnett
7 Min
Exclusive

Central Element Hotel Debut Spearheads Oxford Street Renewal

Taryn Paris
8 Min
London skyline near the walkie talkie tower showing the 85 gracechurch street development.
Exclusive

Basilica to Business: London Office Tower’s Historic Rework

Renee McKeown
6 Min
Hotel Indigo Adelaide hero
Exclusive

Neighbourhood Hotels Reinvent Urban Hospitality

Clare Burnett
5 Min
View All >
Woden Village hero
Residential

Hellenic Club Plots 200-Home Stage for ACT Masterplan

Clare Burnett
Investa Approved Commercial 105-153 Miller Street North Sydney
Office

Investa Pursues Twin Strategy for North Sydney MLC Tower

Vanessa Croll
Leeka 188 Commercial Road Prahran HERO
Residential

Leeka Wins Nod for 32-Home Project at Prahran

Leon Della Bosca
The 32-home development in partnership with Beulah will rise opposite a landmark food market in Melbourne’s south-east…
LATEST
Woden Village hero
Residential

Hellenic Club Plots 200-Home Stage for ACT Masterplan

Clare Burnett
2 Min
Investa Approved Commercial 105-153 Miller Street North Sydney
Office

Investa Pursues Twin Strategy for North Sydney MLC Tower

Vanessa Croll
5 Min
Leeka 188 Commercial Road Prahran HERO
Residential

Leeka Wins Nod for 32-Home Project at Prahran

Leon Della Bosca
2 Min
Development

Rare Newcastle Wharf Project Now Accepting EOIs

Partner Content
3 Min
View All >
ADVERTISEMENT
Article originally posted at: https://www.theurbandeveloper.com/articles/stalling-property-lending-market-rife-with-liar-loans-