The Urban Developer
AdvertiseEventsWebinars
Urbanity
Awards
Sign In
Membership
Latest
Menu
Location
Sector
Category
Content
Type
Newsletters
URBAN LEADER AWARDS ARE BACK! START YOUR NOMINATIONS
URBAN LEADER AWARDS ARE BACK! START YOUR NOMINATIONS
LEARN MOREDETAILS
TheUrbanDeveloper
Follow
About
About Us
Membership
Awards
Events
Webinars
Listings
Resources
Terms & Conditions
Commenting Policy
Privacy Policy
Republishing Guidelines
Editorial Charter
Complaints Handling Policy
Contact
General Enquiries
Advertise
Contribution Enquiry
Project Submission
Membership Enquiry
Newsletter
Stay up to date and with the latest news, projects, deals and features.
Subscribe
ADVERTISEMENT
SHARE
30
print
Print
ResidentialMon 03 Jun 19

Sydney and Melbourne Slow Rate of Decline in May

77c9e207-2b93-460a-8896-599f0d73a192

The pace of housing declines eased in May, with national dwelling values recording a 0.4 per cent decline, the smallest month-on-month drop in the past 12 months.

While dwelling values are still trending lower, Corelogic’s home value index shows the improvement is being driven by a slower rate of decline in major markets Sydney and Melbourne.

Sydney’s residential values recorded 0.5 per cent declines for the month while Melbourne values dropped 0.3 per cent. Corelogic head of research Tim Lawless says this is the smallest decline in values for both cities since March last year.


▲Since peaking, larger capital city falls have been recorded in Darwin -29.5 per cent, Perth -19.2 per cent, as well as regional WA -32.5 per cent, where the mining downturn continues to be felt. Image: CoreLogic.

Taking in the latest housing data, macroeconomic research group Capital Economics said it expects Australia's housing price declines to reach a trough by the end of this year.

“We suspect house prices may start to rise again thereafter, by 3 per cent in 2020 and 5 per cent in 2021,” the research consultancy group said.

Although Capital Economics added that it expects the housing downturn to remain a drag on the economy throughout this year and into 2020.

While most analysts are predicting a June rate cut, Lawless says a “variety of headwinds” are still at play in the property sector.

“Especially in the credit space,” he said.

“Although interest rates and serviceability tests are set to reduce, lenders are continuing to scrutinise incomes and expenses much more intensely.”

Related: The Four Potential Scenarios For Housing Markets: UBS

▲Canberra was the best performing capital city for the three months to May up 0.2 per cent. While Darwin was the worst performing capital city market down 3.3 per cent for the same period. Image: CoreLogic

Lawless says the slower rate of decline is also noticeable in higher auction clearance rates recorded through the month.

The last week of May recorded clearance rates breaking 60 per cent for the first time in a year in Sydney, while Melbourne clearance rates have maintained around the 60 per cent mark over three of the past six weeks.

“Although clearance rates remain low relative to several years ago when housing market conditions were much stronger, the improved performance at auction aligns with the easing rate of decline,” Lawless said.

National dwelling values have recorded declines of 8.2 per cent since peaking in 2017.

Adelaide was the only city not to record a drop in dwelling values in May, rising 0.2 per cent.

ResidentialAustraliaBrisbaneMelbournePerthAdelaideCanberrado not useReal EstateSector
ADVERTISEMENT
TOP STORIES
Exclusive

Robots Not a Miracle Cure for Housing Productivity Crisis

Vanessa Croll
6 Min
Exclusive

Where 600 Wealthy Families Are Putting Their Millions

Taryn Paris
6 Min
Brique Projects EDM
Exclusive

Brique Thrives in Cauldron of SE Queensland Development

Clare Burnett
7 Min
Henny Prime Henny Background
Exclusive

Why Henny and Prime Edition are Moving into Student Living

Leon Della Bosca
7 Min
Riverlee Seafarer's 1 Hotel HERO
Exclusive

Melbourne’s North Bank Awakens After Decades of Dormancy

Leon Della Bosca
8 Min
View All >
Development

URBANITY Live: Back for Day Two

Vanessa Croll
Exclusive

The Urban Developer Awards for Industry Excellence Winners Revealed

Editorial Desk
Bates Smart Architects' rendering of the two towers for Lendlease, MEA and NSKRE's project at 175 Liverpool Street in Sydney.
Residential

Lendlease Signs Partners for Hyde Park Highrise

Marisa Wikramanayake
Announced this month, dual 35-storey towers are planned in a $2.5-billion luxury play by the high-profile developer…
LATEST
Development

URBANITY Live: Back for Day Two

Vanessa Croll
4 Min
Exclusive

The Urban Developer Awards for Industry Excellence Winners Revealed

Editorial Desk
14 Min
Bates Smart Architects' rendering of the two towers for Lendlease, MEA and NSKRE's project at 175 Liverpool Street in Sydney.
Residential

Lendlease Signs Partners for Hyde Park Highrise

Marisa Wikramanayake
2 Min
Markets

Turn of the Tide as Supercycles Track Upwards

Clare Burnett
5 Min
View All >
ADVERTISEMENT
Article originally posted at: https://www.theurbandeveloper.com/articles/sydney-and-melbourne-show-slower-rate-of-decline-in-may